Prediction record
HitcryptoEthereum will not outperform Bitcoin in any sustainable way over the next several months.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I don't think ether is going to outperform Bitcoin in any sustainable way, um, you know, for the next several months.”
Ethereum will not outperform Bitcoin in any sustainable way over the next several months.
- Made on
- 2022-09-27
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-03-27
The ETH/BTC ratio does not rise on a sustained basis over the window (ETH does not outperform BTC).
Over the window (2022-09-27 → 2023-03-27) the ETH/BTC ratio was flat-to-lower (~0.075 down to ~0.063-0.067); ETH showed no sustainable outperformance. Prediction corroborated. Precise daily endpoints could be tightened with an exchange OHLC source, but the directional/sustained conclusion is unambiguous.
Sources
Ethereum: Market Update
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH/BTC peaked near its multi-year high (~0.075-0.08) around the Sept 15, 2022 Merge, then declined through the rest of 2022 and into 2023. The 2023 yearly-average ratio (0.063) was below the 2022 average (0.070), confirming ETH did not outperform BTC on a sustained basis over the window.
Analysis of the ETH/BTC ratio confirms it declined sharply from its September 2022 highs (the Merge peak) through the following months, with no sustained upside relative move into Q1 2023.
Corrections
- tags: ETH-vs-BTC is a crypto price/relative-value call → 'crypto' is the primary tag per the dictionary; 'markets' retained as secondary.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum will not outperform Bitcoin in any sustainable way…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-09-27
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources