Prediction record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates before 2023 (no rate cut in 2022).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“I don't personally think they're going to stop you know start cutting rates until next year”
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates before 2023 (no rate cut in 2022).
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2022-12-31
The Fed does not cut the federal funds rate at any point during calendar 2022.
Criterion (no rate cut at any point during calendar 2022) is met: all seven 2022 FOMC actions were hikes; zero cuts. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Unemployment Falls to 3.5% | Likely Response by the Federal Reserve
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Every FOMC meeting in calendar 2022 was a rate INCREASE, not a cut: Mar 16 (+25bp to 0.25–0.50%), May 4 (+50bp to 0.75–1.00%), Jun 15 (+75bp to 1.50–1.75%), Jul 27 (+75bp to 2.25–2.50%), Sep 21 (+75bp to 3.00–3.25%), Nov 2 (+75bp to 3.75–4.00%), Dec 14 (+50bp to 4.25–4.50%). The Fed did not cut the federal funds rate at any point in 2022.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates before 2023…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-10-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources