Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin market conditions will turn from bearish to neutral, then show bullish signs, at some point during 2023

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

things will slowly start to turn around and go to neutral sometime in 2023

Bitcoin market conditions will turn from bearish to neutral, then show bullish signs, at some point during 2023

Made on
2022-12-14
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

Bitcoin's trend/momentum shifts from bearish to neutral, with emerging bullish signals, at some point during 2023.

Criterion (trend shifts bearish→neutral with emerging bullish signals at some point during 2023) is well-supported by price-phase evidence: ~$16.5k start → ~$26k mid-year bottoming → ~$44k with sustained uptrend by year-end. Window fully elapsed. Outcome value not assigned.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Comparing Bear Markets

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin opened 2023 in bearish conditions near ~$16.5k (Dec 2022/early-Jan 2023 was the tail of the FTX-driven bear market), consolidated, then entered a bottoming/recovery phase — BTC ~$25,897 on June 13, 2023 — a shift from bearish toward neutral.

    Evidence

  • Momentum turned clearly bullish in H2 2023: from mid-October bulls pushed price from ~$27,000 to ~$44,500, and BTC closed 2023 in the low-to-mid $40,000s (~$42k–$44k) — a full bearish→neutral→bullish transition realized within calendar 2023.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin market conditions will turn from bearish to neutral…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2022-12-14

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Evidence firstMethodology