Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high in 2023.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

I don't think Bitcoin will hit a new all-time high in 2023

Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high in 2023.

Made on
2023-01-03
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

Bitcoin does not exceed its prior all-time high (~$69,000) at any point during calendar 2023.

Criterion (does not exceed ~$69,000 at any point in calendar 2023) is satisfied by price history. The prior ATH was not reclaimed until March 2024, outside the window.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Year-To-Date Returns (Bear Market Years, Recovery Years, Halving Years, Mania Years)

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's highest print in calendar 2023 was ~$44,705 (intraday high on Dec 5, 2023), closing the year just above $42,000. This is far below the prior all-time high of ~$69,000 set in November 2021, so BTC never exceeded its prior ATH at any point in 2023.

    Evidence

  • Contemporary reporting confirms Bitcoin traded in the ~$16k–$44k range through 2023 (e.g. ~$41,733 in early December), never approaching the ~$69k record.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Pure BTC price/level bet — 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary to keep the market-timing sub-score continuous; both are schema-valid and this is a scoreable record so the secondary tag actually feeds a sub-score.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin does not reach a new all-time high in 2023.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-01-03

How this profile was built

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Evidence firstMethodology