Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin dominance will fall sharply in late 2024–2025, producing another major altcoin season
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“later 2024 2025 it'll probably come back down again and we'll have you know another very significant All Season”
Bitcoin dominance will fall sharply in late 2024–2025, producing another major altcoin season
- Made on
- 2023-01-21
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-12-31
During late 2024 through 2025, Bitcoin dominance falls sharply, accompanied by a major altcoin-outperformance ('alt season') period.
Deadline (2025-12-31) has passed. The criterion required BOTH a sharp fall in BTC dominance AND a major alt-outperformance season during late 2024–2025; instead dominance trended upward (avg ~51.9%→~59.3%) and no sustained major altseason occurred. Prediction not borne out. Minor caveat noted for the scoring stage: some analysts flagged an early potential dominance breakdown in Aug–late 2025, but this did not amount to the 'major altcoin season' specified within the window.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin dominance ROSE rather than fell sharply across the predicted window: annual-average BTC dominance was ~45.6% (2023), ~51.9% (2024), and ~59.3% (2025). Dominance climbed for a third consecutive year and held elevated levels throughout late 2024 and 2025 — the opposite of the 'sharp fall' predicted.
No sustained major altcoin season materialized in late 2024–2025. The brief altseason attempt at the end of 2024 ended, and altseason remained largely dormant into year-end 2025 with BTC dominance still in the high-50s/low-60s%; only tentative early-rotation signals (a possible dominance breakdown) appeared in mid/late 2025, not the major alt season claimed.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance will fall sharply in late 2024–2025, prod…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-01-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources