Prediction record
HitcryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio will decline to prior lower levels over the next few months
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I do think you're going to see the Ethereum Bitcoin valuation come back down to these levels over the next few months.”
The ETH/BTC ratio will decline to prior lower levels over the next few months
- Made on
- 2023-01-13
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-07-13
The ETH/BTC ratio falls below its ~2023-01-13 level (to the prior lower band) at some point by ~mid-2023.
ETH/BTC fell below its ~2023-01-13 level (to a lower band) within the window: it was already ~0.066 by April and ~0.061-0.062 by mid-July, vs ~0.071-0.073 on Jan 13. The April Shanghai upgrade gave only a brief relative bounce, not a sustained move above the January level. Jan-13 and July-13 spot values are computed from daily ETH/BTC prices (approximate; single-source daily series not fully fetched). Evidence points to met. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH/BTC was roughly 0.071-0.073 around Jan 13, 2023 (ETH ~$1,417 / BTC ~$19,900). During the Jan-2023 rally BTC outperformed ETH, pulling the ratio down.
By April 8, 2023 ETH/BTC was ~0.066 (below the ~January level), and Ethereum broadly underperformed Bitcoin through H1 2023; 2023's yearly-average ETH/BTC was ~0.063. By ~July 13, 2023 the ratio was ~0.061-0.062 (ETH ~$1,930 / BTC ~$31,400), clearly under the Jan-13 level.
Corrections
- tags: ETH/BTC ratio is a crypto price/level call; dictionary requires crypto primary with markets secondary for a crypto price bet.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The ETH/BTC ratio will decline to prior lower levels over t…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-01-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources