Prediction record
50% outcomecryptoBitcoin's 2023 monthly returns will be roughly split — about half green and half red months (a recovery year).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomecrypto“it'll be remembered as as more or less a recovery year where we see about half green and and half red”
Bitcoin's 2023 monthly returns will be roughly split — about half green and half red months (a recovery year).
- Made on
- 2023-03-31
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Of Bitcoin's 12 monthly candles in 2023, roughly half (about 5-7) close green and the rest red.
Criterion: roughly half (about 5-7) of the 12 monthly candles close green. Actual split was 9 green / 3 red (~75% green), not a roughly even split. Caveat: February closed marginally green at +0.04% (effectively flat); even counting Feb as red gives 8 green / 4 red, still outside the 5-7 'about half' band. Outcome/scoring left to later stage.
Sources
Bitcoin Monthly Returns
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's 2023 monthly returns: Jan +39.83%, Feb +0.04%, Mar +23.01%, Apr +2.79%, May -6.87%, Jun +11.97%, Jul -4.08%, Aug -11.29%, Sep +3.99%, Oct +28.55%, Nov +8.82%, Dec +12.06%. That is 9 green (positive) months and 3 red (negative) months — May, Jul, Aug being the only red months.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's 2023 monthly returns will be roughly split — abou…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-03-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources