Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will not make a new all-time high in the immediate term (within ~3 months of March 2023).

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

I don't generally think it is

Bitcoin will not make a new all-time high in the immediate term (within ~3 months of March 2023).

Made on
2023-03-29
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-06-29

BTC/USD does not exceed its prior all-time high (~$69,000) within ~3 months of 2023-03-29.

Prediction held: BTC did not exceed its ~$69k prior ATH within the ~3-month window (or anywhere in 2023). Outcome/scoring left to later stage.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Short-Term Bubble Risk

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Within ~3 months of 2023-03-29 (through late June 2023), BTC's high was only around $31,200 (June 2023), far below the prior all-time high of ~$69,000. It did not make a new ATH.

    Evidence

  • Bitcoin's highest price for the entire year 2023 was approximately $44,130 (December 5, 2023) — well under the ~$69k prior ATH — confirming no new all-time high occurred in the immediate term or at any point in 2023.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.51
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will not make a new all-time high in the immediate…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-03-29

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Evidence firstMethodology