Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin will continue to outperform the altcoin market (altcoins keep falling on their BTC pairs) for several months after March 2023.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“The reality is that likely it's not going to follow in the way that many people expect, and that Bitcoin can continue to outperform the altcoin market for several months to come.”
Bitcoin will continue to outperform the altcoin market (altcoins keep falling on their BTC pairs) for several months after March 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-03-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-09-24
Over the ~6 months after 2023-03-24, aggregate altcoin/BTC pairs decline (Bitcoin dominance rises / alts underperform BTC).
Criterion (BTC dominance rises / alts underperform BTC over ~6 months after 2023-03-24) is satisfied: dominance trended up (~45% → ~50%) and the alt-season index confirms broad altcoin underperformance versus BTC. Dominance is an aggregate proxy; individual alt/BTC pairs varied, but the aggregate direction matches the criterion. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin Season Vs. Altcoin Season
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin dominance rose over the ~6-month window: it was in the mid-40s% in late March 2023 and climbed to ~50% by late September 2023 — dominance has not dropped below 50% since September 2023, marking a sustained rise across the window.
Altcoins broadly underperformed BTC through 2023 (Altcoin Season Index deep in Bitcoin-dominance territory, readings below 30), i.e. altcoin/BTC pairs declined in aggregate over the period.
Corrections
- tags: Claim is Bitcoin outperforming the altcoin market; dictionary reserves 'crypto' for such claims.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will continue to outperform the altcoin market (alt…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-03-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources