Prediction record

Misscrypto

Once Bitcoin breaks through its current resistance, it will rally to $60,000 quite quickly.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

I think Bitcoin will continue its ascent, and once it breaks through, I mean I think it can actually move to 60 quite quickly, as interesting, crazy as that might sound.

Once Bitcoin breaks through its current resistance, it will rally to $60,000 quite quickly.

Made on
2023-03-24
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-06-24

Conditional on BTC breaking its ~$28-29k resistance: BTC/USD reaches $60,000 within ~3 months of the breakout.

Conditional prediction: precondition (break ~$28-29k) was satisfied in April 2023, but the target of a quick rally to $60k did not occur within ~3 months — BTC stayed in the ~$26k-$31k band. Outcome/scoring left to later stage.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Season Vs. Altcoin Season

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Antecedent (breaking ~$28-29k resistance) triggered: BTC broke above $30,000 on April 11, 2023 for the first time since June 2022, intraday high ~$30,432. So the conditional's precondition was met.

    Evidence

  • Consequent FAILED: within the ~3 month window (to 2023-06-24) BTC peaked only around $31,200 in June 2023 and closed June 30 at ~$30,477. It never approached, let alone reached, $60,000. Bitcoin's highest price in all of 2023 was ~$44,130 (December 5), so $60k was not reached at any point in 2023.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • conditional condition met: Record's cited evidence shows BTC broke ~$28-29k resistance (topped $30k on 2023-04-11); precondition objectively met.
  • tags: A cryptocurrency price bet takes 'crypto' primary and 'markets' secondary per the dictionary.

Score contribution

+0.46
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Once Bitcoin breaks through its current resistance, it will…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-03-24

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