Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin's price will fall back during summer and the second half of 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“we likely will see prices fall back in especially as we get into to the summer time and the second half of the year”
Bitcoin's price will fall back during summer and the second half of 2023
- Made on
- 2023-04-21
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-08-17
Bitcoin trades at a lower price than the utterance-date level at some point during summer / H2 2023.
Criterion (BTC trades below the ~$27,326 utterance-date level at some point during summer/H2 2023) is clearly met: BTC spent much of August-October 2023 in the ~$25,000-$27,000 range, below the April 21 level, before the late-October rally. resolved_on set to the mid-August 2023 breakdown; the lower-than-utterance condition holds across an extended H2 window.
Sources
Bitcoin: Summer Lull 2.0?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Utterance-date reference level: Bitcoin's closing price on April 21, 2023 was $27,326.18.
During H2 2023 BTC fell well below that level: it slumped to ~$25,370-$25,500 on/around August 31, 2023, probing the August low reached after the ~Aug 17-18 sell-off.
BTC August 2023 monthly close was $25,931.47 and the September 2023 average close was ~$26,306.14 — both below the April 21 level of $27,326, confirming BTC traded lower during summer/H2 2023.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price/level claim → crypto primary, markets secondary; ['markets']-only would misroute off the crypto sub-score.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's price will fall back during summer and the second…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-04-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources