Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin dominance reaches approximately 49% in the near term.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

I think we are going to be knocking on the door relatively soon of 49

Bitcoin dominance reaches approximately 49% in the near term.

Made on
2023-05-17
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
Not provided

Bitcoin dominance reaches ≥49% at any point on or before 2024-05-17.

Criterion (dominance ≥49% at any point on/before 2024-05-17) is met — reached by late 2023/January 2024 and sustained. Exact first-touch date depends on data provider and stablecoin-inclusion convention, so resolved_on left null; the ≥49% threshold is unambiguously crossed regardless of convention.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Dominance

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • BTC dominance rose steadily through H2 2023 and stood at ~49% around the January 2024 spot-ETF approval, then continued into the low-to-mid 50s through early 2024 — clearly ≥49% well before the 2024-05-17 deadline.

    Evidence

  • Dominance charts (CoinMarketCap/TradingView) confirm BTC dominance in the ~50%+ range across late 2023 and early 2024, inside the claim window.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.51
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin dominance reaches approximately 49% in the near ter…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-05-17

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Evidence firstMethodology