Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance ultimately reaches 60%.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I ultimately think the dominance is going to 60 but I suppose we should wait till 50 before we uh get to too far ahead of ourselves”
Bitcoin dominance ultimately reaches 60%.
- Made on
- 2023-05-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- Not provided
Bitcoin dominance (BTC market cap / total crypto market cap) reaches ≥60% at any point within the window.
Criterion (dominance ≥60% at any point on/before 2026-05-17) is met — threshold crossed during 2025 (documented ≥63% by April 2025). Exact first-crossing date not pinned from secondary aggregators, so resolved_on left null; margin above 60% is large and not convention-sensitive (BTC-mcap/total-mcap). resolved_on could be tightened with a daily dominance series if needed.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC dominance climbed through 2024–2025 and reached ~63% by April 2025 and ~63.9% by July 2025, with a 2025 peak reported near 66% — comfortably ≥60% at multiple points inside the 2023-05-17 → 2026-05-17 window.
Corroborating: dominance again printed above 60% (60.66%) into 2026, and CoinMarketCap/TradingView dominance charts confirm sustained 58–64% readings through 2025.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance ultimately reaches 60%.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-05-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources