Prediction record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin has more red than green monthly closes in the second half of 2023

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Misscrypto

I I do think the second half of the year will be mostly wrecking the Bulls

Bitcoin has more red than green monthly closes in the second half of 2023

Made on
2023-05-01
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+0.31

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

among the Jul–Dec 2023 monthly candles, down (red) months outnumber up (green) months

H2 opened weak (Jul/Aug red) but the Oct–Dec Q4 rally produced four straight green closes, flipping the half to green-majority. Edge cases in H1 (Feb) don't affect the Jul–Dec window. resolved_on = final monthly close of 2023. No outcome value assigned.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Monthly Returns

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • H2-2023 BTC monthly candles (open = prior month's close): Jul $30,477→$29,230 red; Aug $29,230→$25,931 red; Sep $25,931→$26,968 green; Oct $26,968→$34,668 green; Nov $34,668→$37,713 green; Dec $37,713→$42,265 green. That is 4 green vs 2 red — GREEN months outnumber red, so 'more red than green in H2 2023' is not met.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+0.31
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+0.31

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin has more red than green monthly closes in the secon…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-05-01

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Evidence firstMethodology