Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin continues to outperform the altcoin market (Bitcoin season) for at least another one to two months

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

we're going to stay in Bitcoin season frankly for another month or two at least

Bitcoin continues to outperform the altcoin market (Bitcoin season) for at least another one to two months

Made on
2023-05-05
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-07-05

BTC outperforms the broad altcoin market (BTC.D rises / altcoin-BTC pairs fall net) over the ~1–2 months following early May 2023

Criterion (BTC outperforms the broad altcoin market / BTC.D rises net over the ~1–2 months after early May 2023, through ~2023-07-05) satisfied: BTC.D rose over the period and the June ETF-driven rally was strongly BTC-led. resolved_on set to the deadline (end of the evaluation window).

Sources

  • Bitcoin Vs. Altcoins: Recent ROI Comparison

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) broke out to the upside in June 2023, 'signaling the end of long-range action between 38% and 48%' — i.e. BTC gained market share from altcoins during the mid-2023 rally, consistent with continued 'Bitcoin season' through early July 2023.

    Evidence

  • The BlackRock spot-ETF filing (June 15, 2023) drove a BTC-led rally: BTC rose from ~$24,800 to above $30,000 in the week after June 15 while altcoins conspicuously lagged, pushing BTC.D higher — direct evidence BTC outperformed the broad altcoin market over the May→early-July window.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin-vs-altcoin dominance is a crypto-market call — crypto primary, markets kept secondary per the crypto-vs-markets rule.

Score contribution

+1.51
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin continues to outperform the altcoin market (Bitcoin…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-05-05

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Evidence firstMethodology