Prediction record
HiteconomyUS job openings continue declining for another three to six months from May 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hiteconomy“I would think that it's probably going to continue to come down for for at least another three to six months”
US job openings continue declining for another three to six months from May 2023
- Made on
- 2023-05-03
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-11-30
US JOLTS job openings register a net decline over the ~3–6 months following May 2023 (through ~Nov 2023)
Criterion (net decline in JOLTS openings from May 2023 through ~Nov 2023) satisfied: 9.8M → 8.8M. Both figures from official BLS releases. Note BLS applied routine revisions to these months; the direction of the net decline holds robustly across revisions. The reference month (Nov 2023) ends the resolution window; the confirming release published 2024-01-03.
Sources
JOLTS
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BLS JOLTS: job openings were 9.8 million on the last business day of May 2023 (openings rate 5.9%).
BLS JOLTS: job openings were 8.8 million on the last business day of November 2023 (openings rate 5.3%) — a net decline of ~1.0 million versus May 2023, confirming openings continued to fall over the ~3–6 months after May 2023.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
US job openings continue declining for another three to six…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-05-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources