Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance rises from its June 2023 level through approximately September 2023.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I think there is a high probability that we will see the dominance go up from here until around September”
Bitcoin dominance rises from its June 2023 level through approximately September 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-06-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-09-30
Bitcoin dominance (BTC market cap / total crypto market cap) is higher around 2023-09-30 than on 2023-06-06.
On 2023-06-06 dominance was in the mid-40s% (pre-breakout); by ~2023-09-30 it had climbed to ~50% and continued to ~52% in October. Dominance was clearly HIGHER around 2023-09-30 than on 2023-06-06 — criterion met directionally. Exact daily endpoints (from TradingView/CoinGecko BTC.D) would tighten the margin but do not change the direction.
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC dominance broke out of its prolonged ~38%–48% range in June 2023 and rose steadily through the summer as altcoins bled; by mid-October 2023 it reached 52.45%, its highest since April 2021.
Independent reporting notes BTC dominance has not dipped back below 50% since ~September 2023, i.e. it crossed above 50% around end-Q3 2023 — up from the mid-40s where it sat in early June 2023.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance rises from its June 2023 level through ap…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-06-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources