Prediction record
HitmarketsETH/BTC will decline to the 0.04–0.05 range and subsequently to the 0.03–0.04 range.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“the ethereum Bitcoin valuation should head back to this 0.04 to 0.05 level maybe bounce a little bit and then go to the 0.03 to 0.04 level”
ETH/BTC will decline to the 0.04–0.05 range and subsequently to the 0.03–0.04 range.
- Made on
- 2023-07-05
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-04-09
ETH/BTC reaches the 0.04–0.05 range and then the 0.03–0.04 range at some point within the window.
Both target ranges reached in the specified order within the window (deadline 2026-07-05): 0.04–0.05 during 2024, then 0.03–0.04 in late 2024/early 2025 (and below, to ~0.0177 in Apr 2025). resolved_on set to 2025-04-09 (by which point the ratio had unambiguously traversed both bands); a slightly earlier date when 0.03–0.04 was first tagged is also defensible. Criterion's sequencing condition met.
Sources
ETH/BTC: The Coming Collapse?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
At the make date (2023-07-05) ETH/BTC was ~0.063. The ratio fell below 0.05 in July 2024 and traded through the 0.04–0.05 region during 2024 (first target range reached).
The ratio then continued lower through the 0.03–0.04 range (second target range) and dropped below 0.02 on April 9, 2025, bottoming at ~0.0177 in April 2025 — confirming it reached the 0.04–0.05 band first and the 0.03–0.04 band afterward, in the sequence stated.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
ETH/BTC will decline to the 0.04–0.05 range and subsequentl…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-07-05
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources