Prediction record
25% outcomemarketsBitcoin dominance will rise to 60% by the end of 2023.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomemarkets“I think Dominus is going to sixty percent.”
Bitcoin dominance will rise to 60% by the end of 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-08-29
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) reaches ~60% (≥59.5%) on or before 2023-12-31.
Criterion (BTC.D ≥59.5% on/before 2023-12-31) not met — 2023 peak dominance was ~51.6%, well short of 60%. Prediction did not come true. Deadline used as resolved_on.
Sources
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin dominance in 2023 ranged roughly 37.5%–51.6% (annual average ~45.6%) per CoinGecko's dominance history; the 2023 high was ~51.6%, and end-of-year dominance sat around ~50%. BTC.D never reached ~60% (≥59.5%) at any point in 2023.
Corrections
- statement context: Isolated verbatim carries no temporal phrase; the end-of-2023 deadline comes from adjacent same-video sentences. Capture them so the 2023-12-31 horizon is self-evident. The dated version is hedged ('possible'/'good chance').
Score contribution
+2.04- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance will rise to 60% by the end of 2023.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-08-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources