Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin remains in a downtrend through the end of 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“my expectation for the rest of the year for Bitcoin is that it just simply remains in a downtrend”
Bitcoin remains in a downtrend through the end of 2023
- Made on
- 2023-09-11
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin exhibits a net downtrend (lower highs / lower price) from 2023-09-11 through 2023-12-31
Criterion required a net downtrend (lower highs / lower price) from 2023-09-11 through 2023-12-31. BTC instead rose ~68% with higher highs — criterion decisively unmet.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC closed at $25,164.21 on 2023-09-11 (the made_on date) and $42,265.19 on 2023-12-31 — a rise of ~68% over the prediction window. BTC made higher highs into year-end (roughly $27k → $35k in Oct/Nov → $42k+ in Dec), an uptrend, not a downtrend.
BTC December 2023 close confirmed at $42,265.19, up sharply from ~$25k in September, driven by spot-Bitcoin-ETF anticipation — contradicting the 'remains in a downtrend' criterion.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin remains in a downtrend through the end of 2023- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-09-11
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources