Prediction record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin comes back down to around $23,000 before the end of 2023

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Misscrypto

I still think it will be happening before the end of the year

Bitcoin comes back down to around $23,000 before the end of 2023

Made on
2023-09-22
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

Bitcoin trades down to ~$23,000 (at or below the $23k level) at some point before 2023-12-31

Criterion (BTC trades at or below ~$23k at some point before 2023-12-31) not met: BTC trended up from ~$27k to $42k+ over the window and did not revisit $23k. Resolved against the criterion; no outcome value assigned per instructions.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • After the claim date (2023-09-22, BTC ~$26-27k), Bitcoin did not fall to ~$23k at any point in 2023. It rallied through Q4, reaching a December 2023 high of ~$44,705 and closing the year just above $42,000. The lowest post-claim print stayed near ~$25-26k, never reaching the $23k level.

    Evidence

  • Reporting on Bitcoin's late-2023 rally confirms BTC set 19-month highs above $40k in early December 2023 and never returned toward $23k before year-end.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+0.46
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin comes back down to around $23,000 before the end of…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-09-22

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Evidence firstMethodology