Prediction record

Misscrypto

Ethereum ends 2023 below its yearly open of approximately $1,195

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Misscrypto

good chance that eth closes the year below its yearly open of 11.95

Ethereum ends 2023 below its yearly open of approximately $1,195

Made on
2023-09-10
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

Ethereum's 2023-12-31 close is below its 2023-01-01 open (~$1,195)

Year-end close (~$2,290) was ~2x the ~$1,195 yearly open, so the close-below-open criterion is decisively unmet.

Sources

  • Ethereum Outlook

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • ETH's 2023 yearly open was ~$1,195-$1,200 (2023-01-01). ETH closed 2023 around $2,280-$2,300 — roughly +90% for the year — far ABOVE the yearly open. The criterion 'closes below its 2023-01-01 open (~$1,195)' fails.

    Evidence

  • Multiple 2023 year-in-review sources confirm ETH finished the year near $2,300, up ~91%, driven by the April Shapella upgrade and late-year spot-ETF anticipation — well above its ~$1,195 January open.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • Quote wording: The pundit never said 'will end the year below'; that phrasing is absent from the fetched primary. His actual hedged words at t≈305s are 'good chance that eth closes the year below its yearly open of 11.95', reinforced by 'that doesn't mean that it has to happen'. Restoring the real words prevents laundering a hedge into a firm commitment (ASR 'eath'→'eth' applied).
  • certainty verbatim marker: Actual confidence marker is 'good chance'/'I would expect', not null; needed so quantify sets a moderate p rather than treating it as an unmarked firm assertion.
  • tags: Ethereum price claim: crypto is primary per the closed dictionary, markets secondary.

Score contribution

+0.46
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+0.46

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Ethereum ends 2023 below its yearly open of approximately $…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2023-09-10

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