Prediction record
MisscryptoEthereum forms lower highs and trends downward overall through the end of 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I will say my general expectation is that we put in lower highs okay so that doesn't mean that ethereum can't at all move back up right I mean it probably will throughout the prehabbing year at various phases but the general direction should be down”
Ethereum forms lower highs and trends downward overall through the end of 2023
- Made on
- 2023-09-10
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Ethereum exhibits a lower-highs structure and closes 2023-12-31 net lower than its 2023-09-10 price
Criterion required a lower-highs structure AND a 2023-12-31 close net lower than the ~$1,570-1,630 level of 2023-09-10. Both fail: ETH closed ~$2,290, ~40%+ above the made_on price, with an uptrending Q4. Exact daily closes vary a few dollars by exchange/source but the direction (up, not down) is unambiguous.
Sources
Ethereum Outlook
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH rose over Q4 2023 rather than trending down. It traded around $1,550-$1,630 near the made_on date (2023-09-10), rallied through October to ~$1,800-$1,900, and closed 2023 around $2,280-$2,300 (ETH up ~91% on the year). The 2023-12-31 close was materially HIGHER than the 2023-09-10 price, and Q4 made higher highs, not lower highs — contradicting the 'lower highs / trends downward / closes net lower' criterion.
October 2023 ETH rally: price recovered from sub-$1,600 to nearly $1,900, its highest since July 2023, then continued higher into year-end on spot-ETF anticipation — a clear uptrend structure over the prediction window.
Corrections
- tags: Claim subject is a cryptocurrency (ETH) price/trend; crypto is primary for a coin price bet, markets carried secondary to keep the market-timing track continuous.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum forms lower highs and trends downward overall thro…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-09-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources