Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin will see a pullback within the next couple of weeks
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I'm guessing in the next couple of weeks um I I don't know exactly when right I I really don't know exactly when but you likely will get a pullback”
Bitcoin will see a pullback within the next couple of weeks
- Made on
- 2024-02-28
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-03-05
Bitcoin undergoes a notable pullback (peak-to-trough decline of ≥5%) within roughly two weeks of 2024-02-28.
Criterion: a notable pullback (peak-to-trough decline >=5%) within roughly two weeks of 2024-02-28 (through ~2024-03-13). The 2024-03-05 spike-and-reversal (~15% intraday drawdown from the ~$69k tag) plainly satisfies both the >=5% magnitude and the timing. Even discounting intraday extremes, daily closes fell from the ~$68k area (Mar 4-5) into the low-$60k range within the window, well over 5%. resolved_on set to the peak/reversal date 2024-03-05. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
In early March 2024 Bitcoin rallied to briefly tag its prior all-time high (~$69,000) on 2024-03-05, then dropped as much as ~15% intraday before recovering — a peak-to-trough decline far exceeding the >=5% threshold, occurring roughly one week after 2024-02-28, inside the ~two-week window.
Historical BTC-USD daily price data covering late Feb through mid-March 2024, showing the run-up past $69k around 2024-03-04/05 and the subsequent multi-thousand-dollar pullback into the $59k-$62k area, corroborating a >5% peak-to-trough move within the window.
Corrections
- tags: Dictionary rule: a pure crypto price/level bet also carries 'markets' as secondary to keep the market-timing sub-score continuous.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will see a pullback within the next couple of weeks- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-02-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources