Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin dominance makes its peak (tops out) between September and December 2024.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“Bitcoin dominance tops sometime between you know September and December.”
Bitcoin dominance makes its peak (tops out) between September and December 2024.
- Made on
- 2024-09-13
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.18
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-05-31
Bitcoin dominance reaches its highest value (a peak followed by sustained decline) at some point between 2024-09-01 and 2024-12-31.
Criterion required BTC dominance to reach its highest value (a peak followed by sustained decline) between 2024-09-01 and 2024-12-31. Instead dominance kept climbing in 2025 to a ~65% four-year high (~May 2025), so no durable top formed in the predicted window. resolved_on set to 2025-05-31 (approximate, when the higher 2025 peak confirmed 2024 was not the top). (Outcome value/scoring deferred.)
Sources
Bitcoin Dominance
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin dominance did NOT make its durable peak in Sep–Dec 2024. It continued rising into 2025 and peaked around 65% in May 2025 — its highest in ~four years — well above its 2024 levels (2024 average dominance ~51.9%).
Dominance rose through late 2024 (BTC surged to ATHs post-election) but a Dec 2024 alt/ETH rally caused a local dip rather than a sustained top; dominance then resumed higher into 2025, so Sep–Dec 2024 was not a peak-followed-by-sustained-decline.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-dominance claim; 'crypto' is the most-central controlled tag.
Score contribution
+1.18- Confidence
- 55%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.18
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance makes its peak (tops out) between Septemb…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-09-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources