Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin undergoes a notable price correction during January or February 2025

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

I do think there's a good chance there will be a correction sometime say like January maybe going into February

Bitcoin undergoes a notable price correction during January or February 2025

Made on
2024-11-21
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2025-02-28

BTC posts a notable correction (e.g. a peak-to-trough decline of at least ~10%) at some point during January-February 2025

Criterion (a notable, ~≥10% peak-to-trough decline during Jan-Feb 2025) is satisfied by a wide margin (~28-30% drawdown from the 2025-01-20 ATH into late Feb). Facts unambiguous. No outcome value assigned.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Market Cycles

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • BTC set an ATH of $109,114 on 2025-01-20, then sold off sharply through February 2025 toward a ~$78K low — a peak-to-trough decline of roughly 28-30%, far exceeding the ~10% 'notable correction' bar, and occurring squarely within the Jan-Feb window.

    Evidence

  • Multiple outlets characterize this as a genuine mid-cycle correction (~31% drawdown, within the historical 25-40% bull-market-reset range), beginning from the January peak and playing out into late February before an April recovery.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: BTC price correction → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin undergoes a notable price correction during January…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2024-11-21

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Evidence firstMethodology