Prediction record
MisscryptoEthereum will fall to its lower logarithmic regression trend line ('go home') in Q4 2024
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I do think ethereum will finally go home and I want to use this video to talk about the reasons why”
Ethereum will fall to its lower logarithmic regression trend line ('go home') in Q4 2024
- Made on
- 2024-11-03
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-12-31
ETH price touches or breaches its lower logarithmic regression trend line at some point within Q4 2024
Criterion = ETH touches/breaches its lower log-regression trend line within Q4 2024. Price action is directionally decisive against occurrence (Q4 low ~$2,300, rally to $4,000+). Caveat for scoring: the exact lower-band value is Cowen's proprietary chart, not independently published; however no plausible band value was within reach given the ~$2,300 Q4 floor. Prediction did not occur.
Sources
Ethereum: Going Home
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ETH did NOT approach its lower logarithmic regression band in Q4 2024. Its Q4 low was ~$2,300 (early Nov, ~$2,494 daily close on 2024-11-01) and it then RALLIED to above $4,000 by mid-December — the opposite direction of 'going home' to the lower band. Cowen's lower log-regression trend line for ETH sat far below (roughly the ~$1,300–1,600 region in this cycle), which price never came near.
ETH traded above $4,000 in mid-December 2024 (high ~mid-Dec, first time above $4k until Aug 2025 was noted as 'since December 16, 2024'), confirming Q4 price action moved toward the UPPER band, not the lower.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+0.46- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum will fall to its lower logarithmic regression tren…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-11-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources