Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin / the broader crypto market establishes a significant low between mid-March and mid-April 2025.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

a low sometime between mid-march and mid April

Bitcoin / the broader crypto market establishes a significant low between mid-March and mid-April 2025.

Made on
2025-03-19
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.91

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2025-04-07

The crypto market (BTC / total cap) prints its significant correction low between ~2025-03-15 and ~2025-04-15 and does not make a lower low afterward within that window.

Bitcoin/broader crypto established its significant correction low on April 7, 2025 (~$74,420 intraday BTC), squarely within the ~March 15 - April 15 window, and did not make a lower low afterward within that window (it rebounded). Criterion satisfied. No outcome value assigned.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Pre-FOMC

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin printed a fresh 2025 low of ~$74,420 intraday on April 6-7, 2025 amid the Trump tariff market rout — its lowest value of the year — then rebounded above $78,000 by Monday April 7 afternoon. This low sits inside the criterion's ~2025-03-15 to ~2025-04-15 window.

    Evidence

  • BTC recovered after the April 7 low (back above $78k same day, toward the low-$80ks into mid-April), so no lower low was made afterward within the window — the April 7 print stands as the significant correction low.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin/crypto-market low; crypto primary, markets secondary per dictionary.

Score contribution

+1.91
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.91

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin / the broader crypto market establishes a significa…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2025-03-19

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Evidence firstMethodology