Prediction record

Hitmarkets

Bitcoin will print a golden cross (50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA) by May 23, 2025

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Hitmarkets

But a lot of times, and we're not even at the golden cross yet. It's probably going to be either on May 22nd or May 23rd...by the 23rd at the latest, we should in fact have a golden cross

Bitcoin will print a golden cross (50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA) by May 23, 2025

Made on
2025-05-21
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2025-05-20

Bitcoin's 50-day SMA crosses above its 200-day SMA (a 'golden cross') on or before 2025-05-23.

Golden cross confirmed on/around 2025-05-20, ahead of the 2025-05-23 deadline. Exact print date depends on the daily-close convention/data feed (reported as May 20); regardless, it falls within the on-or-before-May-23 window. No conflicting evidence found.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Sets a New All Time High: What is Next?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's 50-day SMA crossed above its 200-day SMA on ~May 20, 2025 — the first golden cross since October 2024, with the 50-day MA near $105,000 rising above the 200-day MA. This occurred before the May 23, 2025 deadline.

    Evidence

  • Contemporaneous reporting confirms the 50-day/200-day SMA golden cross printed around May 20, 2025 (first since Oct 2024).

    Evidence

  • Bitcoin 50/200-day moving average golden-cross history reference chart.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.84
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will print a golden cross (50-day SMA crossing abov…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2025-05-21

How this profile was built

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Evidence firstMethodology