Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin will experience a near-term pullback (roughly 10–15%) in late May / June 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“Bitcoin just had seven green weeks in a row... there will be a pullback. I'm guessing at some point relatively soon.”
Bitcoin will experience a near-term pullback (roughly 10–15%) in late May / June 2025
- Made on
- 2025-05-26
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-06-22
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) records a near-term pullback of at least 10% (peak-to-trough) on or before 2025-08-26.
Criterion (≥10% peak-to-trough pullback on or before 2025-08-26) satisfied; earliest qualifying drawdown reached its trough on 2025-06-22 (~$98,286, ~11% off the late-May peak). A further ~11% pullback also occurred by Aug 25. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC fell from ~$110,000 (late May) to a June 22, 2025 low of ~$98,286 — an ~11% peak-to-trough decline, meeting the ≥10% near-term pullback criterion well before the 2025-08-26 deadline.
A second qualifying pullback occurred within the window: from the ~$124,533 mid-August ATH to $110,276.60 on August 25, 2025 (~11% decline).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will experience a near-term pullback (roughly 10–15…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-05-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources