Prediction record
HitcryptoIf Bitcoin pulls back into August/September 2025, there is still another bounce later in 2025.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“If there is a pullback into August, September, there would still likely be another bounce later this year.”
If Bitcoin pulls back into August/September 2025, there is still another bounce later in 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-07-03
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-10-06
Conditioned on a Bitcoin pullback into Aug–Sep 2025: Bitcoin stages another notable rally (a higher high off the pullback low) before 2025-12-31.
Conditional prediction: both the condition (pullback into Aug–Sep 2025) and the consequent (a subsequent higher high before year-end) are documented — pullback low ~$108k early Sep, followed by the $126k ATH on 6 Oct 2025. Per the written criterion, satisfied. Caveat for the scoring stage: Cowen's framing arguably implied a deeper cycle-low pullback, whereas the actual Aug/Sep pullback was shallow and BTC made new ATHs; the literal written criterion is nonetheless met. Outcome value deferred.
Sources
Unemployment Rate Drops to 4.1%
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The antecedent (a BTC pullback into Aug–Sep 2025) occurred: after the mid-August ~$124k ATH, BTC pulled back into late Aug/early Sep 2025 to a local low around $108k before recovering.
The consequent (another notable rally to a higher high before 2025-12-31) occurred: BTC rallied off the early-September pullback low to a fresh all-time high of ~$126,200 on 6 October 2025 — a clear higher high within 2025.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto price call: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
- conditional condition met: Antecedent (BTC pullback into Aug–Sep 2025) objectively occurred per resolution evidence.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
If Bitcoin pulls back into August/September 2025, there is…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-07-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources