Prediction record
HitmarketsThe US Dollar Index (DXY) finds a local low and bounces higher, around the September 2025 Fed rate cut.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“there's a high likelihood that the dollar is going to get a bounce back up”
The US Dollar Index (DXY) finds a local low and bounces higher, around the September 2025 Fed rate cut.
- Made on
- 2025-07-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-10-31
DXY makes a local low on or around end of September 2025 and then trades higher (a measurable bounce off that low).
Criterion (DXY makes a local low around end-Sep 2025 near the Fed cut, then trades measurably higher) WAS satisfied: local low ~96.5 in mid-September 2025 at the 17 Sep Fed cut, followed by a rally to/above 100 by late October 2025 (~+3.5 index points). Timing nuance for scoring: the low printed mid-September (~Sep 16–17) rather than exactly end-of-September, but was coincident with the September Fed cut as the prediction framed it. Outcome value deferred.
Sources
Is DXY Nearing A Low?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
DXY bottomed near 96.5 in mid-September 2025 (its year's low zone, ~-10% YTD, steepest annual decline in three decades) coinciding with the Fed's 17 Sep 2025 rate cut, then rebounded.
After the September low, DXY staged a measurable bounce: it recovered through October 2025 and 'breached the 100.00 level after 3 months' as rate-cut expectations were pared back on strong US data (Oct ADP +42k, ISM Services 52.4).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The US Dollar Index (DXY) finds a local low and bounces hig…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-07-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources