Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin dominance rises during September and October 2025 (a rotation from altcoins back into Bitcoin).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I also anticipate a surge of Bitcoin dominance in September and October”
Bitcoin dominance rises during September and October 2025 (a rotation from altcoins back into Bitcoin).
- Made on
- 2025-08-27
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-10-31
Bitcoin dominance (BTC market cap as a percentage of total crypto market cap) is higher at the end of October 2025 than at the start of September 2025.
Criterion (end-of-October 2025 dominance higher than start-of-September 2025) met directionally: start-Sept ~57.3% vs end-Oct ~58.7–59%+, a rise of roughly 1.5–2 percentage points. Caveat: absolute dominance values differ by provider (CoinMarketCap includes stablecoins in total market cap; TradingView BTC.D differs), but every source agrees the metric was HIGHER at end-October than start-September. No conflicting evidence on direction.
Sources
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin dominance rose during September 2025 from ~57.3% to nearly 59% (altcoins fell faster than BTC), reported as a 'rising Bitcoin dominance' regime that paused altcoin season.
BTC.D reached ~59.37–59.49% by mid-October 2025 and held in the upper-58% to ~59% range through late October / into early November (59.2% early November) after the Oct 10 liquidation crash hit altcoins harder than BTC.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin dominance is a crypto market-structure call -> crypto primary, markets secondary.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin dominance rises during September and October 2025 (…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-08-27
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources