Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin posts a negative monthly return in September 2025 (a red September).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I think you're going to see another red September for Bitcoin.”
Bitcoin posts a negative monthly return in September 2025 (a red September).
- Made on
- 2025-08-10
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.31
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-09-30
Bitcoin's September 2025 monthly close is below its August 2025 monthly close (negative monthly return).
Criterion (September monthly close below August monthly close) was NOT met — September closed above August ($114,056 > $108,237). Outcome is determinable; no outcome value assigned.
Sources
Ethereum Breaks $4k!
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's August 2025 monthly close was $108,236.71 (Aug 31) and its September 2025 monthly close was $114,056.08 (Sep 30), a positive monthly return of ~+5.4% — a GREEN September, not red.
Corroborating reporting notes September 2025 broke Bitcoin's historically weak 'Red September' seasonality by closing higher (~+5.4%) after a down August (~−6.5%).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+0.31- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.31
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin posts a negative monthly return in September 2025 (…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-08-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources