Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin does not make a new all-time high in September 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“Bitcoin is unable to put in an all-time high in September”
Bitcoin does not make a new all-time high in September 2025
- Made on
- 2025-09-19
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-09-30
BTC does not exceed its prior all-time high at any point during September 2025.
Criterion (BTC does not exceed prior ATH at any point in Sept 2025) is directly met: Sept intraday high ~$117k < prior ATH ~$124.48k (mid-Aug 2025). The next ATH came Oct 5-6, 2025, after the window closed. Prediction outcome favorable; do not assign o here.
Sources
Bitcoin: Post-FOMC
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
BTC's prior all-time high was ~$124,480, set in mid-August 2025. Bitcoin's next record high was not set until October 5-6, 2025 ($125,245-$126,210), which explicitly 'surpassed its previous all-time high set in August 2025' — confirming the August ATH stood unbroken through all of September 2025.
During September 2025 BTC's month-high was ~$117,000 (after the Sept Fed rate cut) and it closed the month around $114,000 — well below the ~$124,480 August ATH, so it did not exceed the prior record at any point in September.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.51- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin does not make a new all-time high in September 2025- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-09-19
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources