Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin's 50-day moving average crosses below its 200-day moving average (a death cross) in November 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“We should see a death cross in November if the price action of Bitcoin still remains somewhat suppressed from the prior levels”
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crosses below its 200-day moving average (a death cross) in November 2025
- Made on
- 2025-10-31
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-11-16
Bitcoin's 50-day MA crosses below its 200-day MA (death cross) at some point during November 2025
Criterion met: the 50/200-day death cross occurred on 2025-11-16, within November 2025. Clean resolution; corroborated by multiple outlets and Glassnode's moving-average chart.
Sources
Bitcoin: Doooooobious Spookulation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossed below its 200-day moving average on 2025-11-16, forming a confirmed death cross (~six weeks after the Oct 6 record high), with price near $93,000 at the time.
The death cross was subsequently confirmed and widely reported (50-day dipped under the 200-day on Nov 16 while price fell to ~$93k).
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Antecedent objectively held: BTC price remained suppressed (~25% down to ~$93k, no rally) into mid-November, so the conditional is live and scores on the resolved hit.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crosses below its 200-day m…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources