Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin's 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages cross within the next few weeks
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“The 50-day SMA, the 200 day SMA, they're probably going to cross in the next few weeks”
Bitcoin's 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages cross within the next few weeks
- Made on
- 2025-10-23
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-11-16
Bitcoin's 50-day SMA crosses its 200-day SMA (a cross event occurs) within ~4 weeks of 2025-10-23.
Criterion asks only whether a 50/200-day SMA cross EVENT occurs within ~4 weeks of 2025-10-23 (deadline 2025-11-20), not its direction. A downward cross (death cross) was confirmed 2025-11-16, four days before the deadline. Cross type was bearish; the record's written criterion is direction-agnostic ('a cross event occurs'). Outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossed below its 200-day moving average on November 16, 2025 (a confirmed 'death cross' — a 50/200 SMA cross event), with price near $93,000, ~6 weeks after the Oct 6 ATH of ~$126,000. This falls inside the ~4-week window (Oct 23 to Nov 20). A cross event of the type the criterion specifies (50-day crossing the 200-day) did occur within the window.
Multiple outlets independently confirm the 50-day/200-day death cross formed in mid-to-late November 2025 following the ~25% drop from the October peak.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages cross w…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources