Prediction record
HitcryptoEthereum underperforms Bitcoin (ETH/BTC stays weak) through the end of October 2025
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“at the very least ETH will stay weak against Bitcoin for the rest of the month”
Ethereum underperforms Bitcoin (ETH/BTC stays weak) through the end of October 2025
- Made on
- 2025-10-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-10-31
The ETH/BTC ratio does not strengthen (ETH underperforms or matches BTC) over the period 2025-10-24 to 2025-10-31.
Criterion: ETH/BTC does not strengthen (ETH underperforms or matches BTC) over 2025-10-24 to 2025-10-31. Satisfied — ETH declined markedly more than BTC into the Oct 31 close (~-10% vs ~-4%), so the ratio did not strengthen. Exact daily ETH/BTC closes for Oct 24 and Oct 31 could not be pulled from a primary tick source (Yahoo/exchange-rates history endpoints returned 503/403), but the direction is unambiguous from reputable market recaps and the broader ratio downtrend. Outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
Ethereum: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Over the last stretch of October 2025, Ethereum fell ~10% (to ~$3,900) while Bitcoin fell only ~4% (to ~$110,000) — ETH underperformed BTC, so the ETH/BTC ratio weakened over the period.
The ETH/BTC ratio was in a sustained downtrend from its ~0.043 peak on Aug 24, 2025 through late 2025 (staying under 0.05), consistent with continued ETH underperformance versus BTC across the Oct 24–31 window and beyond.
Corrections
- tags: ETH/BTC relative-performance claim → 'crypto' per closed dictionary.
Score contribution
+1.91- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum underperforms Bitcoin (ETH/BTC stays weak) through…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources