Prediction record
HitmarketsGold does NOT reach $6,000 per ounce in 2025.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“I don't think gold's going to hit 6K this year, and I would be surprised if it hit it next year, but I could see as we get later on into the decade, uh, it it's certainly becoming an increasing possibility.”
Gold does NOT reach $6,000 per ounce in 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-10-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2025-12-31
Spot gold stays below $6,000/oz through 2025-12-31 (claim resolves true if $6,000 is never touched on or before year-end)
Criterion resolves true: spot gold never touched $6,000/oz on or before 2025-12-31 (2025 peak ~$4,381). Claim ('gold does NOT reach $6,000 in 2025') is confirmed by the evidence.
Sources
Gold Breaks $3900! What Next?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Gold's 2025 record high was ~$4,381/oz in mid-October 2025; it ended 2025 up ~65% for the year but never approached $6,000. Spot gold stayed far below $6,000 throughout 2025.
Even into early 2026 the all-time high stood at ~$5,589/oz (reached 2026-01-28), still below $6,000 — corroborating that $6,000 was never touched during 2025. $6,000 remains a 2026+ forecast (e.g., JPMorgan ~$6,300 for 2026).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.51- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Gold does NOT reach $6,000 per ounce in 2025.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-10-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources