Prediction record
HitmarketsBitcoin puts in a local price top (a local high) in early-to-mid March 2026.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“Bitcoin finds a local high in March.”
Bitcoin puts in a local price top (a local high) in early-to-mid March 2026.
- Made on
- 2026-02-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2026-03-31
Bitcoin prints a local price high (a peak higher than the surrounding days/weeks) during early-to-mid March 2026, followed by a decline.
Criterion (local high in early-to-mid March followed by a decline) is met: BTC printed its March high near $75,988 mid-March, then declined into end-March (close $68,233; $66,710 on Mar 31). The peak clustered in mid-March rather than the first days of March, but falls inside the record's stated 'early-to-mid March' window. Outcome value assignment deferred to scoring stage.
Sources
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's March 2026 monthly OHLC: Open $67,005.88, High $75,988.40, Low $64,971.71, Close $68,233.31. The high (~$75,988) was reached mid-March per contemporaneous analysis, then price declined into month-end — a clear local top formed in the early-to-mid March window followed by a decline.
Narrative confirmation: BTC started March ~$65k-67k, climbed to ~$73k-74k by the middle of March, then consolidated/retreated to ~$69k-71k toward month-end; Fortune reported $66,710.43 on Mar 31, 2026 — confirming a mid-March peak followed by a decline.
Fortune spot price on March 31, 2026 confirming the post-peak decline into month-end.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+1.91- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin puts in a local price top (a local high) in early-t…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2026-02-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources